Academy Securities: Geopolitical & Macro Strategy Podcast

UK Royal Navy intervenes in protection of UK merchant vessels from the Iranian IRGC Navy

As events continue to develop in the Straights of Hormuz and Gulf of Oman, tensions rise between Iran, the US, and other super powers active in these very valuable and necessary shipping lanes.  This week the UK Royal Navy had to place ships between a UK flagged merchant ship from BP and Iranian IRGC vessels.

We immediately got on the phone to discuss this further with our Geopolitical & macro Strategy team members.  We had Lieutenant General Frank Kearney and Lieutenant General David Deptula were featured in this conversation.  

I've also included sections from previous podcasts on the topic of Iran.  Those conversations feature Major General James "Spider" Marks and Brigadier General Tony Tata.

There are also several written pieces we've published regarding this global concern.  They can be viewed by clicking here.

Trump & Kim DMZ Walk, G20, Iran, & Turkey

Academy Securities discusses the recent meeting between President Trump's & Kim Jong Un's meeting and walk through the demilitarized zone.  We also talk about the results (or lack there of) after the G20 summit in Japan.  The second half of the conversation focuses on the effect sanctions are having on Iran and recent election results in Turkey.

Trade War - The Long War

We continue the conversation regarding the Trade War with China.  We cover Academy's previous coverage of this subject as well as long term forecasting.  Academy Securities has stayed ahead of some of the recent geopolitical, macro, and credit market trends that are driving price action lately. For example, here are some instances where Peter has been on the leading edge of market dynamics, and has been called on frequently by the financial press, including Bloomberg TV, to share his developing thoughts:

 

• In late March we started focusing more on China as a “strategic competitor” tying our geopolitical perspectives with Peter’s thought process.  Peter wasn’t yet bearish but that set the stage. See here for his thoughts then: China Trade War

 

• By mid-April he was more concerned and became more bullish. You all may have seen some of those notes.

 

• Turned full-scale bearish on May 12^th, with this piece:Crossing the Rubicon with China

POTUS Denies Waivers for Iranian Oil Sanctions

Brigadier General Tata, Peter Tchir, Rachel Washburn, and Chance Mims all discuss the Trump Administration's decision to deny waivers to countries that want to buy Iranian Oil against standing sanctions.  What threats are associated with this decision?

2019 Second Quarter Outlook

We discuss Geopolitical & Macro Strategy concerns with brigadier General Tony Tata, Major General James Spider Marks, Peter Tchir, and Rachel Washburn.

 

Topics 

• China & Trade
• Taiwan, US, and China Relations
• India's Position Among Other Leading Nations
• Elections in Indonesia
• Russian Interference in Ukraine's Elections
• Volatility in Turkey
• Unrest in Venezuela 

Hanoi Summit 2019 Between North Korea & The United States

United States President Trump and North Korean Chairman Kim meet in February 2019 to discuss nuclear capabilities of North Korea and economic sanctions that have been in place for years.  Major General James "Spider" Marks, Lieutenant General Bob Walsh, and Rachel Washburn of Academy Securities discuss the outcome of this recent summit.

Rising Tension between India & Pakistan

Today our conversation focuses on India & Pakistan. On February 14th a terrorist attack killed 40 Indian soldiers in Indian controlled Kashmir. India claimed this week that it launched airstrikes into Pakistani territory against the terrorist groups responsible for the February 14th attack.

This Wednesday a confrontation occurred between Pakistani and Indian fighter jets which resulted in Indian aircraft being shot down and a plot captured by Pakistani forces. As this was recorded Pakistani and Indian governments had begun negotiations for the return of the Indian Pilot.

Rachel Washburn and Major General James Spider Marks discuss this situation involving 2 nuclear-armed nations.

Political Crisis in Venezuela

As the political crisis continues to take place in Venezuela the international community chooses to back Nicolás Maduro or Juan Guaidó.  We discuss with our Geopolitical & Macro Strategy experts what may happen next and how markets may be impacted.

US Withdraw from Syria & Government Shutdown State of Emergency

2018 Review & 2019 Outlook

For our final episode of 2018 we review the major geopolitical events and developments of this year and discuss whats on the horizon for 2019. Main topics include:

• China & Trade War
• Russia global influence
• Ukraine
• Turkey & Nato
• Kingdom of Saudi Arabia
• Cyber Threat
• U.S. role in Afghanistan